Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035650 0.038863 0.042096 0.045585 0.049240 0.052947 0.056987
2025-12-14 0.030455 0.035309 0.040362 0.045986 0.052048 0.058360 0.065406
2025-12-21 0.026465 0.032628 0.039258 0.046852 0.055249 0.064192 0.074380
2025-12-28 0.021506 0.028433 0.036161 0.045287 0.055645 0.066923 0.080023
2026-01-04 0.018230 0.025821 0.034592 0.045244 0.057615 0.071343 0.087548
2026-01-11 0.015764 0.023910 0.033646 0.045777 0.060163 0.076391 0.095814
2026-01-18 0.013028 0.021373 0.031732 0.045000 0.061073 0.079510 0.101875
2026-01-25 0.010373 0.018633 0.029329 0.043438 0.060908 0.081285 0.106334
2026-02-01 0.008501 0.016714 0.027790 0.042798 0.061748 0.084169 0.112045
2026-02-08 0.007110 0.015295 0.026772 0.042713 0.063195 0.087733 0.118538
2026-02-15 0.006200 0.014472 0.026477 0.043504 0.065694 0.092550 0.126524
2026-02-22 0.005518 0.013916 0.026493 0.044665 0.068640 0.097908 0.135174
2026-03-01 0.004690 0.013056 0.026083 0.045322 0.071073 0.102820 0.143539
2026-03-08 0.003988 0.012310 0.025786 0.046115 0.073695 0.108007 0.152313
2026-03-15 0.003447 0.011772 0.025758 0.047264 0.076792 0.113821 0.161912
2026-03-22 0.002498 0.010213 0.024008 0.045886 0.076489 0.115339 0.166237
2026-03-29 0.001958 0.009373 0.023322 0.045980 0.078121 0.119292 0.173578
2026-04-05 0.001582 0.008803 0.023030 0.046617 0.080474 0.124168 0.182083
2026-04-12 0.001107 0.007795 0.021880 0.045900 0.080926 0.126575 0.187496
2026-04-19 0.000666 0.006609 0.020264 0.044366 0.080171 0.127366 0.190845
2026-04-26 0.000410 0.005822 0.019285 0.043751 0.080654 0.129742 0.196176
2026-05-03 0.000252 0.005265 0.018683 0.043689 0.081892 0.133098 0.202750
2026-05-10 0.000172 0.004995 0.018632 0.044506 0.084390 0.138124 0.211472